Academy of Social Sciences, Institute of Rural Development, the National Bureau of Statistics Rural Social Economic Survey and the Social Sciences Academic
Press and other units on the 19th jointly issued the Green Paper on the rural economy, "Chinese Rural Economy Analysis and Forecast (2010-2011)." Green Paper
Pointed out that in 2011, continue to rise in prices of agricultural products remains strong motivating factors, the grain and cotton candy oil prices will
stabilize.
The Green Paper pointed out that the pattern of tight global supply and demand of agricultural products has not changed in 2011, agricultural prices continue
to rise in the power factor is still strong. However, the Green Paper said that in 2010, although China's cotton and sugar production cuts, but the global
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cotton
Increase, the main producer of sugar production. If well managed, the expected elimination of price factors, the bulk of sugar in 2011 cotton and oil price
fluctuations of agricultural products will decrease, and domestic support of prudent monetary policy is not rising prices of these products.
The Green Paper pointed out that in 2010, China's agricultural products trade in the largest deficit in history value. View from the main imported
agricultural products, soybeans, edible vegetable oil, cotton import large quantities of agricultural trade deficit is the main cause, in particular,
Is a long net exports of corn into a net importer, which is followed by a large following of soybean varieties in a net import of grain pattern. Shortage of
land and water resources in the country increasing levels of serious and sustained growth in consumption of animal products and increased demand for feed
grains
Background, the Chinese corn export volume gradually decreased, the trend of increasing imports, culminating in the pattern of net imports of maize. Net
imports of maize grain at home and abroad not only enhances the correlation, and increased food imports on the domestic market and
The impact of food production risk, which brought China's grain import and export of higher regulatory requirements.
According to 2011 projections of world economic development and related research results, the Green Paper that, in the world economy grew by 3.1% and
relatively stable economic trends throughout the year under the premise of China's agricultural import and export volume growth than in 2010, and There
History of innovation may again, but the growth rate will fall significantly. Medium to long term, China's agricultural products import and export trade
growth rate will be slowed. (Shanghai Securities News)
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